Grand National Trends

Grand National Trends

Every year punters will be looking to pick the winner of the Grand National and no doubt the 2014 running of the Aintree marathon will offer the same dilemma for those having a flutter.

Some will painstakingly decipher the form guide to try and work out the 4m 4f contest, whilst many will just choose the name or colours they like and opt to punt on that horse.

However, our Grand National Trends section may be able to shed some light on the National picture with similar occurrences taking place year-on-year in the Grand National and we touch on a few brief pointers for this year's race that could possibly help in picking the winner of the 2014 Grand National.

Age

Since 2000 five horses that have won the Grand National have been 10-years-old, whilst Amberleigh House was the oldest winner since the turn of the century when he won the race in 2004, aged 12.

Weight

No horse since Red Rum in 1977 has managed to carry more weight than 11st 5lbs and win the Grand National.  Don't Push It won the race in 2010 with 11st 5lbs, but generally horses with less have weight have a better record of winning the Grand National.

Form

Since 1970 every horse that has won the Grand National has already won over 3m, so it may be sensible to veer away from the runners who are making a huge step up in distance.

Odds

Three favourites or joint favourites have won the race since 2000, whilst most of the victorious horses have been placed in the first ten of the Grand National Betting.  However, 100/1 outsider Mon Mome showed that it can upset the apple cart and bag Aintree glory, as he did in 2009.

Trainers

It is not always the highly regarded trainers that take Grand National glory as leading jumps trainers Paul Nicholls and Nicky Henderson have never managed to lift the coveted crown.

Previous Form

Horses that have competed in previous Grand Nationals tend to have a good record when returning to Aintree.  Winners Don't Push It and Comply Or Die have both managed to return to Merseyside and finished placed the following year after they had won it.

Irish

Irish-trained horses have a tremendous record in the race and five winners of the race since the turn of the century have been trained in the Emerald Isle and travelled over to win the Grand National.  Willie Mullins, in particular, has flown the flag for Ireland having notched up two victories in the race.